Base Rate Discussion

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Base Rate Discussion

Post by Bobby Francis on Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:23 pm

What is the best way to come up with a base rate for the best picture forecast?

Bobby Francis

Posts : 13
Join date : 2016-02-10

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Base Rate Discussion

Post by Bobby Francis on Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:46 pm

So there are some betting markets that allow people to bet on what will win the Oscar in a given category:

www hsx com/security/list.php?id=3
www paddypower com/bet/hollywood/oscars?ev_oc_grp_ids=559541

the trouble is turning them into actual probabilities. If we can do this for a number of markets and combine them together, we could have a pretty powerful base rate

NOTE: I can't post external links for 7 days, so change the spaces to periods

Bobby Francis

Posts : 13
Join date : 2016-02-10

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Base Rate Discussion

Post by Bobby Francis on Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:48 pm

Whoops, paddypower's best picture market is actually here:

www paddypower com/bet/hollywood/oscars?ev_oc_grp_ids=10446

Bobby Francis

Posts : 13
Join date : 2016-02-10

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Base Rate Discussion

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

View previous topic View next topic Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum